Commercialization Likelihood Percentage™ (CLP)

Commercialization Likelihood Percentage (CLP^TM)

A data‑driven probability score (0–100%) that transforms patent renewal and monetization decisions from guesswork into evidence‑backed strategy.
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Lack of CLP^TM leads to uninformed, subjective desisions.

Maintenance spend ≠ value: Many renewals persist due to habit or sunk‑cost bias.
Signal over noise: CLP^TM quantifies the commercialization likelihood so teams can prioritize high‑probability assets.
Board‑friendly: A single, transparent metric that supports audits, budgeting, and licensing decisions.

What CLP^TM is

CLP^TMis a probabilistic indicator quantifying the likelihood that a given patent will generate revenue through licensing, productization, oracquisition. It blends technical maturity, market demand, legal strength, and competitive positioning into a single score expressed as a percentage from 0–100%.

0–100% score

20± weighted factors

Blind or enhanced

CLP^TM is calculated using more than 20 Factors: Here are several.

Signal Category

Representative Factors

Rationale

Market Alignment

Customer pain clarity , TAM/SAM proximity , Adoption curve

Measures problem–solution fit and the size/speed of demand.

Competitive Signals

EOU overlap , Comparable deals , White‑space density

Indicates contestability and precedent pricing for licensing.

Technology Maturity

TRL stage , Prototype/POC , Manufacturability

Readiness to integrate into products or partnerships.

IP & Legal Strength

Claim breadth , Forward citations , FTO posture

Enforceability and blocking potential that underpin value.

Revenue Evidence

Inbound interest , Sales proxy , Royalty benchmarks

Signals that real buyers or licensees will pay.

Interpreting CLP^TM scores

Portfolio view: Sort assets by CLP^TM to focus budget on highest‑probability returns.
Deal view: Use CLP^TMalongside comparable deals and EOU for negotiation leverage.

High (≥70%) — prioritize for licensing/partnerships

Medium (40–69%) — advance with targeted validation

Low (≤39%) — consider maintenance triage or donation

Example: applying CLP^TM to a single patent

Inputs (condensed)

Strong market fit in growing niche; early adopter interest
Prototype validated with two pilots
Forward citation velocity above category median
Two comparable licenses in adjacent tech

Outcome

Recommended next steps: Prepare for and initiate a strategic, direct marketing licensing campaign targeting key decision-makers (KDMs) at the 10–15 most ideal licensees, selected for their strong alignment and proven commercialization capabilities.

CLP: 74%

Band: High

Action: Outbound licensing